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Probability Calculator

Combine event probabilities or find a normal distribution range.

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Probability Calculator

Two events, repeated events and normal ranges

Between 0 and 1.

P(A and B), independent events

0.2

P(A or B)at least one happens
0.7
P(exactly one of A, B)A xor B
0.5
P(neither A nor B)
0.3
P(not both)
0.8
P(A')A does not happen
0.5
P(B')
0.6
P(A and not B)
0.3
P(B and not A)
0.2

Assumes A and B are independent (one happening doesn't change the chance of the other).

How it was calculated

  1. P(A ∩ B) = P(A) × P(B) = 0.5 × 0.4 = 0.2
  2. P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A ∩ B) = 0.5 + 0.4 - 0.2 = 0.7
  3. P(A Δ B) = P(A) + P(B) - 2P(A ∩ B) = 0.5
  4. P((A ∪ B)') = 1 - P(A ∪ B) = 0.3

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How the probability calculator works

Probability is a number from 0 (impossible) to 1 (certain). For two independent events, the chance both happen is P(A) × P(B), and the chance at least one happens is P(A) + P(B) - P(A) × P(B), which subtracts the overlap so it isn't counted twice.

For repeated independent trials, the chance of something happening every time is P^n, the chance it never happens is (1 - P)^n, and the chance it happens at least once is 1 - (1 - P)^n. That last one is why a 1-in-6 chance becomes a 66.5% chance over six tries.

The normal distribution tab converts bounds to z-scores, z = (x - μ) / σ, and uses the standard normal cumulative distribution Φ(z) to find the probability of a value landing between them.

Using and checking your result

Published by JustYourCalculator. Check the units and assumptions above, and compare a known example before relying on the output. Calculations use browser arithmetic and may round displayed values.

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